So far we know of only two interstellar objects (ISO) to visit our Solar System. They are ‘Oumuamua and 2I/Borisov. There’s a third possible ISO named CNEOS 2014-01-08, and research suggests there should be many more.
But a new research letter shows that cosmic ray erosion limits the lifespan of icy ISOs, and though there may be many more of them, they simply don’t last as long as thought. If it’s true, then ‘Oumuamua was probably substantially larger when it started its journey, wherever that was.
The title of the research letter is “Erosion of Icy Interstellar Objects by Cosmic Rays and Implications for ‘Oumuamua.” It’s available on the preprint site arxiv.org and hasn’t been peer-reviewed yet. The lead author is Vo Hong Minh Phan from Aachen University in Germany.
The team of researchers looked at four different types of ices: nitrogen (N2), carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), and methane (CH4). Then they considered the cosmic rays in the interstellar medium (ISM) and their erosion effect on the ices. They also considered the erosion that collisions between icy ISOs and ambient gas in the ISM would have on the ISOs.
The research takes many variables into account. CR flux can vary widely and the erosion time for a given icy ISO can vary according to the cosmic ray strength. The same is true for encounters with gas in the ISM. And the different types of ices erode at different rates too.
This figure from the study shows the erosion time for various types of ices. Time in years is given on the vertical axis and the radius of the object in meters is on the horizontal. The black horizontal line is ‘Oumuamua’s suggested travel time of 0.5 Gyr. Image Credit: Phan et al 2021.
There’s a lot we don’t know about ‘Oumuamua. In fact, we know almost nothing about it. We don’t know what it’s made of, we only have range estimates for its size, and we don’t really know where it came from. There’s scant evidence to prove much about it conclusively.
But all the same, there are some intriguing possibilities.
Previous research suggested that ‘Oumuamua could be an N2 ice fragment from a body similar to Pluto in another solar system. That scenario has ‘Oumuamua originating from somewhere in the Perseus arm about 0.5 Gyr ago. In that scenario ‘Oumuamua’s initial size would have been between 10 – 50 km (6 – 31 mi). The actual size within that range would be determined primarily by the cosmic ray strength it was subjected to.
The researchers looked at it another way, too. If the formation mechanisms for different ISOs tells us the initial radius of the object, then they can set distance limits for its origin based on the object’s speed. The higher an ISO’s speed, the greater the erosion effect from collisions with gas inside the ISM. And on the other hand, the slower an ISO is moving, the more time it spends exposed to cosmic rays, meaning it should erode more quickly.
This graphic from the research letter shows an object’s velocity on the horizontal and a maximum distance to the birth site on the vertical for two different cosmic ray strengths. The entire graphic refers to a 10 km radius object. The green vertical line marks an object velocity of 10 km/s which is comparable to the speed of ‘Oumuamua. Image Credit: Phan et al 2021.
This type of research is in the beginning stages. The authors point out that we need to know more about the varying strength of cosmic rays in the Milky Way to make more progress. “It is also clear
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